Friday, April 28, 2006

Conventional Wisdom Bogus

The conventional wisdom is that cracking down on illegal immigration is bad politics (short and long term). However, it appears to be one of the few things likely to help the Republican Party.

Rasmussen reports a +12 advantage to Democrats for the 2008 Presidential race. Not good. But the poll also asked the respondents to choose between a Republican, Democrat, and a third party candidate who "promised to build a barrier along the Mexican border and make enforcement of immigration law his top priority." In this three way race, the Dems came up with 31%, the third party candidate with 30%, and the Republican with 21%. I think a tough-but-sensible approach to immigration from a Republican candidate would stand a very good chance at getting elected. McCain would be a prime candidate, but of course he's on the other side of the issue. Frist blew it big time with his "compromise."

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